Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.020120 0.021743 0.023434 0.025329 0.027395 0.029581 0.032071
2025-10-05 0.017363 0.019677 0.022218 0.025221 0.028680 0.032547 0.037209
2025-10-12 0.015679 0.018408 0.021525 0.025357 0.029960 0.035328 0.042093
2025-10-19 0.014398 0.017394 0.020924 0.025408 0.030981 0.037713 0.046514
2025-10-26 0.013344 0.016516 0.020355 0.025371 0.031791 0.039786 0.050579
2025-11-02 0.012475 0.015774 0.019862 0.025337 0.032533 0.041742 0.054541
2025-11-09 0.011560 0.014895 0.019116 0.024893 0.032667 0.042864 0.057411
2025-11-16 0.010761 0.014106 0.018420 0.024445 0.032730 0.043845 0.060093
2025-11-23 0.010193 0.013579 0.018026 0.024358 0.033246 0.045429 0.063661
2025-11-30 0.009646 0.013043 0.017581 0.024159 0.033571 0.046737 0.066878
2025-12-07 0.009175 0.012583 0.017208 0.024025 0.033960 0.048131 0.070270
2025-12-14 0.008714 0.012110 0.016787 0.023791 0.034175 0.049261 0.073307
2025-12-21 0.008338 0.011753 0.016532 0.023812 0.034810 0.051108 0.077660
2025-12-28 0.007949 0.011358 0.016204 0.023709 0.035254 0.052699 0.081735
2026-01-04 0.007657 0.011089 0.016040 0.023835 0.036045 0.054852 0.086832
2026-01-11 0.007366 0.010804 0.015836 0.023883 0.036704 0.056822 0.091740
2026-01-18 0.007076 0.010505 0.015592 0.023848 0.037221 0.058579 0.096391
2026-01-25 0.006808 0.010225 0.015361 0.023817 0.037733 0.060342 0.101149
2026-02-01 0.006467 0.009815 0.014908 0.023402 0.037586 0.060995 0.104002
2026-02-08 0.006148 0.009426 0.014468 0.022984 0.037403 0.061567 0.106729
2026-02-15 0.005926 0.009179 0.014241 0.022902 0.037779 0.063103 0.111281
2026-02-22 0.005695 0.008907 0.013962 0.022716 0.037961 0.064302 0.115277
2026-03-01 0.005491 0.008670 0.013727 0.022591 0.038237 0.065673 0.119673